← The Lab/MODEL 001 · VERSION 2.0
INTERACTIVE DECISION MODEL

AI Value
Realization Lab.

Separate productivity improvements from workflow economics, capacity capture, and financial returns. Change the assumptions. See which conclusions hold.

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIOSNO DATA IS UPLOADED OR STOREDUPDATED OCTOBER 2026
THE MODEL

Build the business case.

Start with a sample workflow, then replace the assumptions with your own.

STARTING POINT
01Baseline & productivityHow much work does the process require today?⌄
02AI workflow & qualityWhat human work remains after automation?⌄
03Capacity & financial realizationWhat will the organization actually capture?⌄
04Fully burdened AI program costBuild a defensible estimate, not just a token bill.⌄
EXECUTIVE READOUT● LIVE
MODELED ANNUAL FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTION—

Calculating your scenario…

Annualized AI program cost—
Modeled financial benefits—
Capacity created—hours/year
Captured cash / avoided spend—
WORKFLOW UNIT ECONOMICS
Human baseline
—
AI workflow
—
Resource cost per successful case, including remaining human work. This is not the same as realized cash savings.
WHAT THIS RESULT MEANS

Illustrative annualized, steady-state model. No tax, discount rate, ramp-up, change in demand, or risk adjustment. Benefits must be independently validated before use in investment decisions.
MODEL TRANSPARENCY

Inspect the mechanics.

Open the methodology to see what each number means and where the model can mislead.

View formulas & limitations +

Required successful cases: Annual target volume. Expected AI attempts = target volume ÷ successful-attempt rate. The model assumes independent attempts and a stable success rate; it does not simulate individual retries or changing task complexity.

Baseline human cost: Target volume × baseline minutes ÷ 60 × fully burdened hourly rate.

AI workflow human cost: (Expected attempts × review minutes + expected failed attempts × additional recovery minutes) ÷ 60 × hourly rate. This assumes review on every attempt and recovery work on unsuccessful attempts.

Capacity created: Baseline human hours minus AI workflow human hours. Negative values indicate additional human workload. Cash benefits are never inferred from negative capacity.

AI program cost: Expected attempts × (inference + data cost per attempt) + fixed annual operations + one-time implementation investment ÷ evaluation horizon.

Workflow unit cost: (Human workflow cost + AI program cost) ÷ successful annual cases. This is a resource-cost comparison, not proof of savings in the income statement.

Financial benefits: Positive released hours × fully burdened rate × capture percentage + separately substantiated incremental contribution. The capture percentage is an explicit assumption, not an estimate of automatically realized value.

Net annual financial contribution: Financial benefits minus annualized AI program cost. This compares incremental benefits against AI costs and avoids subtracting remaining labor a second time. The model assumes baseline labor spending otherwise continues.

Boundaries: No NPV, discounting, taxes, implementation ramp, demand elasticity, error-related liability, or changes in quality valuation. Do not enter contribution that already includes labor benefits captured elsewhere. The same activity must not be counted as both avoided labor cost and incremental contribution.

GO DEEPER / 001

The Headcount
Reduction Trap.

Why replacing work with AI doesn't automatically deliver the financial return your business case predicts.

Read the flagship essay ↗